Demonetization

In economics, demonetization is a type of centralized intervention that cancels a currency’s legal tender status. It can affect all currency in circulation or limit its effect to certain types or denominations of banknotes or coinage. Countries usually demonetize their economies when changing the currency they use as legal tender, or when replacing existing currencies, banknote denominations, or coinage with new ones. When demonetization occurs, the affected currency can no longer be used to purchase goods or services and its monetary value becomes null and void.

Demonetization is rare. Economists generally consider it an extreme and risky measure when it is used in response to existing or looming economic problems. It can have drastic, far-reaching consequences, particularly when policymakers introduce demonetization programs abruptly and without adequate warning. However, when managed in a carefully planned and economically conservative manner, demonetization can go smoothly and help restore or maintain the stability of a national or transnational economy.

Background

Historically, demonetization has mainly been used as a means of maintaining a currency’s stability or keeping inflation in check. Inflation occurs when the average costs of goods and services rise. Low levels of inflation can benefit a stable economy, prompting consumers to purchase larger volumes of goods and services with the expectation that their costs will modestly increase in the future. However, when annualized inflation rates rise above 3 percent, economies can destabilize when those who produce and provide goods and services struggle to meet surging demand as consumers scramble to stockpile essential items before their prices soar out of control. Extremely high levels of inflation are known as hyperinflation.

Inflation has many causes, including the oversupply of money within an economy. Historically, demonetization has sometimes been used to reduce the national money supply and keep inflation in check. This occurred in the United States in the 1870s, leading to the Coinage Act of 1873. The Coinage Act stripped silver of legal tender status in the United States, an intervention deemed necessary after prospectors uncovered major silver deposits in the country’s Western frontiers. The discoveries accelerated inflation to problematic rates, given the impending influx of large amounts of silver into the US economy. Financial policymakers responded by demonetizing multiple coins, including the two-cent, three-cent, and half-dime pieces and establishing the gold standard, tying the value of the US dollar to gold. The Coinage Act contracted the US economy by abruptly reducing the national money supply, bringing about a recession. Silver regained legal tender status with the passage of the Bland–Allison Act of 1878, which remonetized the precious metal.

Countries also demonetize their economies when adopting new currencies, discontinuing certain monetary denominations, or replacing existing banknotes and coinage with new ones. For example, Canada issued a limited series of $25 bills in 1935 to celebrate the 25th anniversary (silver jubilee) of head of state King George V (1865–1936). The rare $25 bills remained legal tender until January 1, 2021, when they were officially demonetized alongside the obsolete $1, $2, $500, and $1,000 bills previously issued by the Bank of Canada.

Overview

More recent examples of demonetization have been undertaken for many different reasons. In 2002, most members of the European Union (EU) completed the demonetization of their legacy currencies to adopt the euro as legal tender. The undertaking marked a carefully planned, smooth, and successful transition as the participating EU member states allowed citizens to convert their demonetized currencies to euros at fixed exchange rates.

In 2015, the government of Zimbabwe demonetized the country’s dollar in a bid to bring runaway hyperinflation under control. Hyperinflation occurs when inflation reaches extreme rates: in the case of Zimbabwe, the official inflation rate reached a staggering 231,000,000 percent in 2008, plunging the southern African country into a spectacular financial collapse. The 2015 Zimbabwean demonetization program unfolded over a period of three months, during which the legacy Zimbabwe dollar was withdrawn from circulation and nullified of value. It was then replaced with a basket of regional and international currencies including the US dollar, the South African rand, and the Botswana pula, which had been widely introduced into the country’s economy in 2009. These currencies retained legal tender status until 2019, when Zimbabwe’s central bank announced that bond notes and their electronic equivalents, which became legal tender in 2016, would serve as a new form of the Zimbabwe dollar. Inflation rates soared to a reported 97.9 percent in response to the announcement, indicating low levels of confidence in the Zimbabwean economy that persisted into the 2020s.

India conducted what was widely characterized as an experimental approach to demonetization when it stripped legal tender status from its 500-rupee and 1,000-rupee notes. The move, which was announced in 2016, impacted an estimated 86 percent of all cash that was circulating in India’s economy at the time. Officials implemented the radical policy as part of a bold bid to reduce corruption, counterfeiting, and the ubiquity of so-called black money in India. Black money is a term used to describe cash earned illegally, or legally but not reported to tax authorities. At the time, India’s economy was quickly growing but remained heavily dependent on cash, with about 90 percent of all transactions involving cash exchanges.

A consensus of economists and experts agreed India’s unorthodox strategy was likely to succeed in stifling black-market activity, cash-based bribery of public officials, and counterfeiting. Observers noted that a large, parallel underground economy had developed in India and was illicitly operating alongside the country’s legitimate economy. The move triggered a rapid transition to low-cash and no-cash alternatives, including electronic and card-based transactions.

After the policy went into effect, India’s economy plunged into turbulence before stabilizing. In the final financial quarter of 2016, during which time the demonetization policy went into effect, the country’s Central Statistics Office stated that India’s economy grew by 7 percent. This aligned perfectly with estimates the agency had released prior to the demonetization program, essentially showing that the unusual policy move had no effect on the country’s overall financial health. In 2017, state-level elections were held in India, which many observers characterized as a de facto referendum on the demonetization program. Voters rewarded the incumbent government with widespread victories, effectively signaling their approval of the policy. However, later analysis suggested that while the demonetization scheme inspired innovation in the digital transaction space, it also had adverse effects on employment rates and overall economic activity, implying it may not have been entirely successful.

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